Two Rules for Making Better Decisions

 

Here is another valuable Management Tip of the Day from Harvard Business Review. To sign up for a free subscription to any/all HBR newsletters, please click here.

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There are many ways to improve your decision making, but two simple rules can be particularly helpful.

o First, be less certain — about every part of your decision-making process. Think choice A will lead to outcome B? It’s probably less likely than you believe. Think outcome B is preferable to outcome C? You’re probably too confident about that as well.

o Revisit the logic of your decisions. What else would you think about if you were less sure that A causes B, or that B is preferable to C? Second, always ask yourself, “How often does that typically happen?”

o For example, if you were considering funding a startup, you might ask: What percentage of startups fail? (Or, what percentage succeed?)

Accepting that you know less than you think you do [i.e. recognizing your “unknown unknowns”] is one of the best ways to start making better decisions.

Adapted from “3 Ways to Improve Your Decision Making,” by Walter Frick

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