Thinking
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail–but Some Don’t Nate Silver Penguin Books (2015) How and why, more often than not, “human judgment is intrinsically fallible” This book was first published in 2012, at a time when…
Read MoreI recently re-read Dan Kahneman‘s Thinking, Fast and Slow, and was amazed by how much that I noted in his narrative, this time, that I had either missed or misunderstood during previous readings. In Chapter 19, “The Illusion of Understanding,…
Read MoreNumbersense: How to Use Big Data to Your Advantage Kaiser Fung McGraw-Hill (2013) How to cope with an information blizzard that has become a data tsunami I agree with an observation by Mark Twain: “Figures often beguile me, particularly when…
Read MoreIn his latest book, Ken Robinson observes in Chapter 7 that being creative is not only about thinking; it is also about feeling. For example, “Among the legacies of the Enlightenment and Romanticism are many common-sense but mistaken assumptions about the differences between the arts…
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Daniel Kahneman on “The Illusion [or Delusion] of Validity”
I recently re-read Dan Kahneman‘s Thinking, Fast and Slow, and was amazed by how much that I noted in his narrative, this time, that I had either missed or misunderstood during previous readings. In Chapter 20, “The Illusion of Validity,”…
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