The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Superforecasting: A book review by Bob Morris

October 25, 2015

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner Crown Publishers (2015) How to blend computer-based forecasting and subjective judgment to gain a better sense of what will likely occur Obviously, computers can process, organize, and access…

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How to Prepare for a Black Swan

October 24, 2011

Here is an excerpt from another outstanding article written by Matthew Le Merle, featured in strategy+business magazine, polished by Booz & Company. Disrupter analysis can help assess the risks of future catastrophic events. To read the complete article, please click…

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