Philip Tetlock
Superforecasting:The Art and Science of Prediction Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner Broadway Books (September 2016) How and why the best decisions are based on the best information The best decisions really are based on the best information. That is, information…
Read MoreSuperforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner Crown Publishers (2015) How to blend computer-based forecasting and subjective judgment to gain a better sense of what will likely occur Obviously, computers can process, organize, and access…
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What is the Good Judgment Project and why is it important?
The Good Judgment Project (GJP) is a project “harnessing the wisdom of the crowd to forecast world events.” It was co-founded by Philip E. Tetlock (left, author of Superforecasting with Dan Gardner as well as Expert Political Judgment: How Good…
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